Fresh from influencing outcomes in Bihar, AIMIM is now exploring political partnerships in Assam’s minority belt.
BY PC Bureau
November 18, 2025: Days after unsettling the RJD-led Grand Alliance’s minority outreach in Bihar, Asaduddin Owaisi’s All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) is now set to emerge as a potential “disrupter” in Assam’s electoral landscape. AIUDF chief Maulana Badruddin Ajmal on Monday confirmed that preliminary talks are underway with AIMIM for a possible tie-up ahead of the 2026 Assembly elections.
Speaking at a press conference, Ajmal said his party is actively exploring political realignments across Assam’s minority-dominated constituencies. As part of this strategy, the AIUDF has also opened communication channels with Kerala’s United Democratic Front (UDF) to forge a broader understanding before the polls.
“In the upcoming Assembly elections, we will contest 35 seats. Our results will be better than the Congress,” Ajmal asserted. He added that the party has already mobilised workers on the ground and is encouraged by recent political trends in the east.
“There is a good chance this time. Yes, there may be some plus-minus, but AIUDF will perform better than Congress. Talks are ongoing with AIMIM and UDF as well,” he said, signalling a willingness to reshape existing alliances.
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Alliance Talks Could Reshape Assam’s Minority Politics
Analysts believe that an AIUDF–AIMIM partnership could significantly disrupt the political balance in Assam’s minority-heavy belt—an area historically dominated by the Congress but increasingly contested in recent years.
Senior advocate and minority rights activist Nekibur Zaman said such an alliance could severely dent the Congress’s prospects.
“In Assam’s minority politics, an alliance between Ajmal and Owaisi will hurt Congress. The BJP alliance will benefit from this partnership,” Zaman noted.
He warned that if Congress refuses to strike its own understanding with AIUDF, the party could lose as many as 10 to 15 seats in regions where minority votes decisively shape outcomes.
Shifting Equations Ahead of 2026
With Ajmal signalling new partnerships and announcing an ambitious 35-seat target, the state’s opposition bloc is bracing for a turbulent period of negotiations, strategic repositioning, and internal recalibration. Minority votes, which influence dozens of seats, are likely to become the central focus of coalition-building efforts in the months ahead.
AIMIM’s Bihar Playbook Raises Stakes in Assam
The developments come on the heels of AIMIM’s strong showing in the recent Bihar Assembly elections, where the party once again proved to be a spoiler for the RJD-led Grand Alliance. In the Muslim-majority Seemanchal region, AIMIM retained its five seats—Amour, Baisi, Bahadurganj, Kochadhaman and Jokihat—matching its 2020 tally and consolidating its influence in pockets of eastern Bihar.
Political observers noted that AIMIM’s vote share in several constituencies exceeded the margin by which RJD or its allies lost, splitting the anti-BJP vote and weakening the Grand Alliance’s chances. By pulling a significant section of the Muslim electorate away from RJD and the Congress, AIMIM is widely believed to have indirectly bolstered the BJP-led NDA’s performance in the region, giving the party an edge in critical seats.
What It Means for Assam
As Assam heads toward the 2026 polls, the prospect of the AIUDF and AIMIM combining their influence has set off alarm bells within the Congress camp. With Owaisi’s party now actively seeking opportunities beyond Bihar and Ajmal positioning AIUDF at the centre of a new coalition framework, the political landscape in Assam’s minority belt could be heading for a major churn.
All eyes will now be on how the Congress recalibrates its strategy—and how the BJP-led alliance capitalises on the evolving dynamics—as the countdown to the polls begins.
